There Have Been 13 Arizona Polls in the Last 14 Months and Trump Has Led Only One of Them

[Maddox]

A new poll released Wednesday by OH Predictive Insights had some very good news for Arizona Democrats: the party’s likely senate nominee, former astronaut Mark Kelly, leads Republican Sen. Martha McSally by nine points. And better still, Kelly is over the fifty-percent threshold for the second consecutive poll.

But there’s another pretty big election in Arizona this fall—the presidential race, where 11 electoral votes are up for grabs. That’s one more than Wisconsin. And the news on that front is, if anything, even more encouraging for Democrats. There have been 13 head-to-head polls between Joe Biden and President Donald Trump in Arizona over the last 14 months, and Trump has led just one of them—by two points in December. In the same OH Predictive Insights survey, Biden also led his opponent by nine points, and was likewise above the 50-percent threshold.

There have been 13 Arizona polls in the last 14 months and Trump has led only one of them

The 2020 election is more than just Wisconsin.

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